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President Biden officially announced his bid for reelection Tuesday morning, saying in a solemn launch video that he wants to “finish the job” he started when the country was besieged by a deadly pandemic, a reeling economy and a teetering democracy.
Claiming that his presidency has pulled the country back from the brink on all those fronts, Biden underlined his ambition to turn what he had once pitched as a transitional presidency into something far more transformational.
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“The question we are facing is whether in the years ahead we have more freedom or less freedom, more rights or fewer,” Bidensaid in the video. “I know what I want the answer to be. This is not a time to be complacent. That’s why I’m running for reelection.”
For Biden, 80, the announcement marks a pivotal moment in a political career that has spanned a half-century. The decision may defy the wishes of some Democratic voters clamoring for a different standard-bearer — one who is younger, more progressive and more reflective of the party’s diversity — but it also underscores Biden’s strength among party leaders, including those who believe he has the best chance of defeating Donald Trump or another Republican.
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The 2024 race is expected to be the final campaign for a figure who has run seven races for the U.S. Senate and sought the presidency or vice presidency four times. It will shape the legacy of a man who rose from a county council in Delaware to become one of the youngest U.S. senators in history, a partner to the country’s first Black president — and ultimately the nation’s 46th president as a pandemic swept the country.
Beyond that, Biden’s announcement moves the United States one step closer to what will likely be a tumultuous 2024 presidential campaign, as former president Trump pushes for a rematch with Biden after more than two years of falsely claiming he was the true winner in 2020. Trump has already announced his own candidacy and begun exchanging barbs with other Republican hopefuls.
As for Biden, polls suggest few Democrats are enthusiastic about the notion of his running again, but many believe he may be their best bet for keeping the White House.
Inside the final days before Biden's announcement
Even with Tuesday’s announcement, Biden is expected to hold few explicitly campaign-style events in the near future, as his aides hope that he can remain above the political fray during a hard-fought GOP primary. But he may face rocky political terrain in the coming months nonetheless as he heads into a bitter fight with Republicans over the government’s debt limit, as the Justice Department wraps up a criminal investigation of his son Hunter and as the president himself confronts a probe into classified documents found among his personal belongings.
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An official speech to union leaders on Tuesday afternoon took on much of the feel of a campaign event as Biden contrasted his record with Trump’s, made promises for what a second term would entail and paused to revel in the crowd’s chants of “four more years!”
“We had to fight like hell, folks. We made a lot of progress because of all of you,” Biden said. “But there’s more to do. So let’s finish the job.”
Biden has not run a robust national campaign in years, since much of his campaigning in 2020 was curtailed by thecoronaviruspandemic.
Republicans are already comparing Biden to former president Jimmy Carter, who was ousted after one term amid high inflation and global turbulence. Biden’s allies, in contrast, have tried to characterize him as the most effective president since Franklin D. Roosevelt, citing Biden’s success in pushing through legislation on climate change, economic relief, prescription drugs, infrastructure and other matters, as well as his ability to rally a global coalition against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
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Despite these accomplishments, polls suggest Biden could face a tough battle in his bid for a second term. Most Americans say the country is on the wrong track, and few believe their fortunes have improved during his presidency. Biden’s aides and allies contend those numbers will improve as Americans begin to see his policies implemented, but Republicans argue the numbers reflect his failure to improve the economy or reduce crime.
The president could also benefit from contrasting his approach with a Republican field that has been remade in Trump’s combative image, said Biden aides, some of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal strategy.
“Every generation of Americans has faced a moment when they’ve had to defend democracy, stand up for our personal freedoms, and stand up for our right to vote and our civil rights,” Biden said in his launch video, which began with scenes from theJan. 6, 2021, insurrection. “This is ours. Let’s finish the job.”
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Ronna McDaniel, chairwoman of the Republican National Committee, was quick to fire back. “Biden is so out-of-touch that after creating crisis after crisis, he thinks he deserves another four years,” McDaniel said in a statement after Biden’s video was released. “If voters let Biden ‘finish the job,’ inflation will continue to skyrocket, crime rates will rise, more fentanyl will cross our open borders, children will continue to be left behind and American families will be worse off.”
Biden’s central campaign themes have been on display for months as he has traveled the country touting his economic accomplishments and blasting the Republicans who took control of the House in January. They often amount to an argument that he gets things done for ordinary Americans, while “MAGA Republicans” are extremists who veer toward authoritarianism.
In an immediate example of the split screen that Democrats hope plays in their favor, Tuesday marked the beginning of Trump’s civil trial for rape and defamation allegations. If Trump emerges as the Republican nominee, he may find himself appearing as a defendant in several criminal trials while campaigning for president.
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Even before his announcement, Biden’s events resembled modest campaign events, with union workers in bright-colored vests forming a blue-collar backdrop. His speeches typically include recitations of the positive economic data points of his presidency — record job growth, expanded manufacturing,new small businesses — as well as populist messaging about the futility of trickle-down economics.
“The middle class built this country,” he often says. “And unions built the middle class!”
Aides say the president plans to emphasize those messages while increasing his travel around the country in the coming months.
Democrats believe the president’s path to reelection likely runs through the same narrow set of competitive states where he bested Trump in 2020 — Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, New Hampshire, Georgia and Pennsylvania. While Democratic strategists say the Supreme Court’s recent decision overturningabortionrights has buoyed their prospects, they recognize that they face serious struggles in attracting rural voters and those without college degrees.
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To win in 2024, Biden will need to maintain unified support from a diverse coalition of Democratic voters, including liberals who have at times been disappointed by his centrist positions, party strategists said. He will also need to win over moderates who have voted for Republicans in the past, including suburban women and college-educated voters who were turned off by Trump’s presidency.
Biden enlists potential rivals as advisers
As Biden barnstorms the country, he is expected to aim increasingly sharp barbs at his Republican detractors, targeting not only congressional lawmakers but also the party’spresidential candidatesas they compete for votes in a primary dominated by the GOP’s base voters. He is also expected to warn of the dangers of returning Trump, who continues to lead in polls of Republican voters, to the White House.
Republicans hope to use their narrow House majority to frustrate Biden’s campaign and tarnish his brand as a drama-free elder statesman, wagering he will pay a price for any dysfunction in Washington. “Biden’s advantage is that he’s viewed more favorably than Donald Trump. His brand is less toxic,” said Bryan Lanza, a GOP strategist who advised Trump’s 2016 campaign. “If Republicans are going to dislodge him from the White House, they have to go after that brand.”
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Lanza said Republicans are also likely to highlight Biden’s age and his failure to unite the country after promising to do so. Since shortly after he took office, the GOP has sought to portray him as a president who is in over his head and has let the country descend into chaos.
Like his predecessors, Biden will now have to balance his role as president and as a candidate. Already his official presidential trips often take him to political swing states. White House officials are expected to play a central role in crafting his message and countering attacks on his agenda, but they must tread carefully because of the Hatch Act, which prevents federal employees from using their taxpayer-funded positions to engage in campaigning.
Partisan battles — including over the debt limit, immigration, government spending, mass shootings and crime — are likely to take on an even more political tone as Republicans seek to highlight controversies in the Biden administration.
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Aides said Biden delayed his announcement of a reelection bid, which was initially expected earlier in the year, in part because he wanted to continue governing without having his actions viewed through a strictly partisan lens. But the timing also reflected delays in making major decisions about his campaign, including selecting his campaign leadership.
Biden announced that Julie Chavez Rodriguez, a senior adviser in the White House, will manage the campaign, and Quentin Fulks, who oversaw Sen. Raphael G. Warnock’s reelection campaign in Georgia, will serve as principal deputy campaign manager.
The president also announced a slate of national co-chairs for the campaign: Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D); Sens. Christopher A. Coons (D-Del.) and Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.); Reps. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-Del.), James E. Clyburn (D-S.C.) and Veronica Escobar (D-Tex.); and Jeffrey Katzenberg, a Hollywood mogul and major Democratic donor.
Even as the campaign structure emerges, much of the political nerve center around the president will be operating out of the White House, officials said, where the president’s 2020 campaign manager, Jen O’Malley Dillon, and several long-standing aides continue to work in official positions.
Polls and interviews with voters show that Biden faces a significant challenge in persuading Americans to give him four more years.
Across eight national polls in 2022 and 2023, an average of 38 percent of Democrats said they wanted Biden to be the party’s presidential nominee in 2024, while 57 percent wanted to nominate someone else. During Trump’s first term, an average of 73 percent of Republicans wanted the GOP to renominate him, and an average of 75 percent of Democrats wanted to renominate Barack Obama during his first presidential term.
Voters tell pollsters that Biden’s advanced age is a main concern. Biden, who would be 82 at the beginning of a second term and 86 at its conclusion, is in uncharted territory in asking Americans to give him another four years in office. The previous oldest president wasRonald Reagan, who left office at 77.
Trump is 76 and would be 82 at the end of a second term.
In 2020, Biden promised to be a “bridge” to the next generation of political leaders, which some Democrats interpreted as a sign that he would step down after one term. With Tuesday’s announcement, he has made clear that he plans to sit atop an increasingly young and diverse party for another six years — meaning leaders such as Whitmer and Maryland Gov. Wes Moore must wait that much longer.
Democrats lukewarm on Biden but see no alternative
Biden’s age could also turn an even brighter spotlight on Vice President Harris, who has struggled to gain political traction during her time as Biden’s second-in-command.
In subtle and direct ways, Republicans have tried to capitalize on the issue by presenting Biden as feeble and highlighting his verbal or physical missteps. “America is not past our prime. It’s just that our politicians are past theirs,” former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley said in February when announcing her own bid for the Republican presidential nomination.
Still, Republicans face their own challenges. Trump, who leads the GOP field by a wide margin, is bitterly disliked by much of the electorate, and he has already begun lashing out at other Republicans weighing presidential runs, notably Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
And Biden has won support from Democrats with his legislative success, said Joel Payne, a Democratic strategist.
“If you had your druthers, would you prefer the candidate of your choice to not be in direct competition with actuarial charts? Sure,” Payne said. “But the package that Joe Biden is in is the package that he’s in. And I actually don’t think it’s a new piece of data. It’s not like voters elected a young man and then three years later he’s old, right?”
Biden, who often says “watch me,” in response to questions about his age, plans to continue traveling the country and holding events to allow voters to see him in action. White House officials have also pointed to Biden’s travel schedule — which at times has been more busy than previous, younger presidents — as evidence of his vitality.
Trump has also faced questions over his age and mental acuity — raising the prospect of a battle between two senior citizens over their physical and mental capacity to lead the country.
Some analysts said Biden is benefiting from Democrats’ uncertainty about who, if anyone, would have a better chance of keeping Trump from a second term.
“In the absence of a clearly established successor who could guarantee a Democratic victory, the president sees himself as the main barrier between Donald Trump and the White House, notwithstanding polling numbers that suggest his own weakness,” said Russell Riley, a presidential historian at the University of Virginia’s Miller Center. “If President Biden does get reelected, he automatically enters the conversation about the most consequential presidents.”
Presidential candidates for 2024
Five Republicans and three Democrats have officially declared they are running for their party’s 2024 presidential nomination, and plenty of others are making moves. We’retracking 2024 presidential candidateshere.
Republicans: Donald Trump,Nikki Haley,Vivek Ramaswamy,Asa HutchinsonandLarry Elder, have announced they are running for president in 2024. Here is The Post’s ranking of thetop 10 Republican presidential candidates for 2024.
Democrats:President Biden has officiallyannounced he is running for reelection in 2024. Author Marianne Williamson and anti-vaccine advocate Robert Kennedy Jr., both long-shot candidates, are also seeking the Democratic nomination.Hereis The Post’s ranking of thetop 10 Democratic presidential candidates for 2024.
FAQs
Who is predicted to be president in 2024? ›
| 1️⃣ Joe Biden | +150 | 40.0% ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 2️⃣ Donald Trump | +275 | 26.7% ↑ |
| 3️⃣ Ron DeSantis | +450 | 18.2% |
| 4️⃣ Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | +1600 | 5.9% ↓ |
| 5️⃣ Gavin Newsom | +2500 | 3.8% ↑ |
Biden's approval rating at 40%, Americans concerned about immigration. U.S. President Joe Biden's public approval was at 40% in recent days, close to the lowest level of his presidency, with Americans unhappy about his handling of immigration and inflation, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll showed.
Did Joe Biden announce 2024 reelection bid? ›Biden announces 2024 reelection bid: 'Let's finish this job' WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden on Tuesday formally announced that he is running for reelection in 2024, asking voters to give him more time to “finish this job” and extend the run of America's oldest president for another four years.
Who is favored to win next presidential election? ›Presidential Election Odds 2024 (June 21)
Here is a look at odds to win US President in 2024. Election odds 2024 have Joe Biden at +150. Donald Trump is +275 and Ron DeSantis is +450. View Election betting odds for those candidates and more below.
| No. | Office | Party |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vice President | Democratic |
| 2 | Speaker of the House of Representatives | Republican |
| 3 | President pro tempore of the Senate | Democratic |
| 4 | Secretary of State | Democratic |
At the 1924 Democratic Convention he dramatically appeared on crutches to nominate Alfred E. Smith as “the Happy Warrior.” In 1928 Roosevelt became Governor of New York. He was elected President in November 1932, to the first of four terms.
How high was Reagan's approval rating? ›After becoming president on January 20, 1981, Reagan survived an assassination attempt. CBS News launched their opinion polls with their first one showing 67% of Americans approving the president's job performance. Similarly, an ABC News poll showed Reagan's highest approval rating at 73%.
What is 538 news? ›FiveThirtyEight, sometimes rendered as 538, is an American website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States.
What is Joe Biden's GPA? ›He played halfback with the "Blue Chicks" freshman football team (at the time, freshmen were not eligible to play varsity sports). However, when he got a poor 1.9 grade point average for the semester, his parents told him that he had to give up football to concentrate on his classes.
Can the current president run for reelection? ›No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.
How many times did Biden run for nomination? ›
Joe Biden, current president of the United States (2021–present), former vice president (2009–2017), and former U.S. senator from Delaware (1973–2009), has sought the presidency four times.
Who holds the majority in Senate 2023? ›| Congress | Majority Leader | Minority Leader |
|---|---|---|
| 117th Congress (2021–2023) 17 17 | Charles E. Schumer (D-NY) | Mitch McConnell (R-KY) |
| 118th Congress (2023–2025) | Charles E. Schumer (D-NY) | Mitch McConnell (R-KY) |
- Be a natural-born citizen of the United States.
- Be at least 35 years old.
- Have been a resident of the United States for 14 years.
With most states following the winner-take-all approach, it is possible for a candidate to win the electoral vote, but lose the nation-wide popular vote. There have been four elections in which the person elected president won the electoral vote, but lost the popular vote (1876, 1888, 2000, and 2016).
What percent of the popular vote does a president need to win? ›Long story short: To win the presidency, you don't have to win the majority of the popular vote. You have to win the majority of electoral votes — that is, 270 of them. * In most states, a candidate wins electoral votes by winning the most voters.
Who is 4th in line for the presidency? ›The Secretary holds the most senior position in the President's Cabinet. If the President were to resign or die, the Secretary of State is fourth in line of succession after the Vice President, the Speaker of the House, and the President pro tempore of the Senate.
Which president had 15 children? ›John Tyler was the most prolific of all American President: he had 15 children and two wives. In 1813, Tyler married Letitia Christian, the daughter of a Virginia planter. They had eight children.
Can a two term president run for Vice President? ›In fact, the relevant constitutional provisions, their histories, and their purposes all point to the same conclusion: A twice-before-elected President may become Vice-President either through appointment or through election and — like any other Vice-President — may thereafter succeed from that office to the Presidency ...
Who ran for President 7 times? ›LaRouche ran for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States seven times, beginning in 1980.
Why can't a President serve 3 terms? ›The Constitution had no limit on how many times a person could be elected as president. The nation's first president, George Washington chose not to try to be elected for a third term. This suggested that two terms were enough for any president.
Who was President twice not in a row? ›
In the years before his presidency, he served as a mayor and governor in New York state, winning fame as an anti-corruption crusader. Cleveland is the only president in U.S. history to serve non-consecutive presidential terms. He won the popular vote in three presidential elections—1884, 1888, and 1892.
Who was ranked the best president? ›Abraham Lincoln has taken the highest ranking in each survey and George Washington, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Theodore Roosevelt have always ranked in the top five while James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, and Franklin Pierce have been ranked at the bottom of all four surveys.
What was Obama's lowest approval rate? ›| Order | President | Lowest approval |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Obama | 38 (2011-08-29) |
| 43 | G. W. Bush | 25 (2008-10-05, 2008-10-12, 2008-11-02) |
| 42 | Clinton | 37 (1993-06-06) |
| 41 | G. H. W. Bush | 29 (1992-08-02, 1992-10-13) |
Reagan's popularity rating is lower than in any previous Post-ABC News poll. For the first time a majority expressed little or no confidence that his program will lead to improvement of the economy. A majority also said Reagan has gone too far in increasing military spending while cutting back social programs.
What news source is Republican based? ›Fox News Channel has been described as a conservative media, and as providing biased reporting in favor of conservative political positions, the Republican Party, and President Donald Trump.
What does 538 mean in politics? ›The number of electors in the United States Electoral College.
Why does the United States Electoral College currently have 538 votes? ›Under the "Electoral College" system, each state is assigned a certain number of "votes". There are a total of 538 electoral votes, and the number of votes each state receives is proportional to its size --- the bigger the state's population the more "votes" it gets.
What was the highest GPA in America? ›When you study at a US university, your GPA is on a scale from 0.0 to 4.0, with 4.0 being the highest your GPA can be.
What is the highest GPA a person has got? ›The unweighted scale is most common, and the highest possible GPA on this scale is a 4.0. The unweighted scale doesn't take the difficulty of a student's classes into account. Weighted scales are also used at many high schools. Typically, they go up to a 5.0.
What is Donald Trump's degree? ›At age 13, he was enrolled at the New York Military Academy, a private boarding school, and, in 1964, he enrolled at Fordham University. Two years later, he transferred to the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, graduating in May 1968 with a B.S. in economics.
Can the vice president run against the president? ›
Jefferson was elected to the position as part of an old system where the vice president was the runner-up in an election though this was changed by the 12th Amendment in 1804. Since the passage of the 12th amendment, a vice president has never challenged the president in an election.
Can a president serve 10 years? ›The amendment caps the service of a president at 10 years. If a person succeeds to the office of president without election and serves less than two years, he may run for two full terms; otherwise, a person succeeding to office of president can serve no more than a single elected term.
Which president served the longest term? ›William Henry Harrison spent the shortest time in office, while Franklin D. Roosevelt spent the longest. Roosevelt is the only American president to have served more than two terms.
Has a president ever been elected 3 times? ›Roosevelt won a third term by defeating Republican nominee Wendell Willkie in the 1940 United States presidential election. He remains the only president to serve for more than two terms.
Who did Obama run against? ›The Democratic ticket of Barack Obama, the junior senator from Illinois, and Joe Biden, the senior senator from Delaware, defeated the Republican ticket of John McCain, the senior senator from Arizona, and Sarah Palin, the governor of Alaska.
When did Biden run against Obama? ›| Joe Biden for President 2008 | |
|---|---|
| Announced | January 7, 2007 |
| Launched | January 31, 2007 |
| Suspended | January 3, 2008 |
| Headquarters | Wilmington, Delaware |
The U.S. Senate passed a debt ceiling bill, addressing the issue just before the country would have defaulted on its debts. Senators voted 63-36 to pass the bill. Both senators Joe Manchin, a Democrat, and Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican, voted yes. The bill now goes to President Biden, who has said he will sign it.
Who are the 3 independent senators? ›This list provides the names, service dates, and political party affiliation of the Senate's many independent members. The names of current senators appear in bold print. Total: 77 individuals (Three senators, John P. Hale, Anthony Kennedy, and Waitman T.
Who has the majority rule in Congress? ›The House and Senate generally operate by majority rule.
What are 5 things the president Cannot do? ›- make laws.
- declare war.
- decide how federal money will be spent.
- interpret laws.
- choose Cabinet members or Supreme Court Justices without Senate approval.
What President was not married? ›
Tall, stately, stiffly formal in the high stock he wore around his jowls, James Buchanan was the only President who never married. Presiding over a rapidly dividing Nation, Buchanan grasped inadequately the political realities of the time.
What are the 3 original qualifications to be President? ›The Constitution lists only three qualifications for the Presidency — the President must be at least 35 years of age, be a natural born citizen, and must have lived in the United States for at least 14 years.
Which US state is the most Republican? ›However, it is important to note that Washington D.C. (while not a state) has 3 electoral votes and 76% of residents identify as Democrats, while 6% identify as Republicans. Wyoming was the most Republican state, with 59% of residents identifying as Republican, and only 25% of residents identifying as Democratic.
How many times can you run for President if you lose? ›The Twenty-second Amendment (Amendment XXII) to the United States Constitution limits the number of times a person is eligible for election to the office of President of the United States to two, and sets additional eligibility conditions for presidents who succeed to the unexpired terms of their predecessors.
What does the 12th Amendment do? ›The Twelfth Amendment made a series of adjustments to the Electoral College system. For the electors, it was now mandated that a distinct vote had to be taken for the president and the vice president. Further, one of the selected candidates must be someone who is not from the same state as the elector.
What is the fewest number of states a candidate needs to win? ›(Since the District of Columbia is not a State, it has no State delegation in the House and cannot vote). A candidate must receive at least 26 votes (a majority of the States) to be elected. The Senate elects the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most electoral votes.
What was the biggest electoral victory in history? ›1981 – Ferdinand Marcos won with 89% of the vote, and won in every province, with the main opposition coalition boycotting the election. This is the largest landslide in history.
What is the least amount of votes a presidential candidate needs to win? ›A candidate needs the vote of at least 270 electors—more than half of all electors—to win the presidential election. In most cases, a projected winner is announced on election night in November after you vote. But the actual Electoral College vote takes place in mid-December when the electors meet in their states.
What are the 5 requirements to be President? ›- Be a natural-born citizen of the United States.
- Be at least 35 years old.
- Have been a resident of the United States for 14 years.
Richard Nixon was elected the 37th President of the United States (1969-1974) after previously serving as a U.S. Representative and a U.S. Senator from California.
What are the 13 keys? ›
The 13 Keys. The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. When five or fewer of the following statements are false, the incumbent party candidate is predicted to win the election.
Who becomes the 31st president of the United States? ›Before serving as America's 31st President from 1929 to 1933, Herbert Hoover had achieved international success as a mining engineer and worldwide gratitude as “The Great Humanitarian” who fed war-torn Europe during and after World War I.
What are the 7 powers of the president? ›The Constitution explicitly assigns the president the power to sign or veto legislation, command the armed forces, ask for the written opinion of their Cabinet, convene or adjourn Congress, grant reprieves and pardons, and receive ambassadors.
Who was the oldest President? ›The youngest at the time of his election to the office was John F. Kennedy, at age 43. The oldest person elected president was Joe Biden, the nation's current president, at age 77. Biden celebrated a birthday between Election Day and Inauguration Day making him 78 when sworn into office.
How many presidents have been impeached? ›Many U.S. presidents have been subject to demands for impeachment by groups and individuals. Three presidents have been impeached, although none were convicted: Andrew Johnson was in 1868, Bill Clinton was in 1998, and Donald Trump twice, in 2019 and 2021.
Can a former President run as vice president? ›Others contend that the original intent of the 12th Amendment concerns qualification for service (age, residence, and citizenship), while the 22nd Amendment concerns qualifications for election, and thus a former two-term president is still eligible to serve as vice president.
Can a two term President run for vice president? ›In fact, the relevant constitutional provisions, their histories, and their purposes all point to the same conclusion: A twice-before-elected President may become Vice-President either through appointment or through election and — like any other Vice-President — may thereafter succeed from that office to the Presidency ...
Who is the professor that predicts the president? ›Professor who accurately predicted every US president since 1982 says Joe Biden will have significant advantages if he runs again. American University's distinguished professor of history, Alan Lichtman, shocked the world when he accurately predicted that Donald Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton in 2016.
What is the most accurate election predictor? ›After proving to be America's most accurate national poll in the 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 presidential elections, results for 2020 show the IBD/TIPP poll has done it again. IBD/TIPP has now been the most accurate in each of the last five election cycles.
Who is the political scientist who predicts elections? ›Helmut Norpoth (born 1943) is an American political scientist and professor of political science at Stony Brook University. Norpoth is best known for developing the Primary Model to predict US presidential elections.
Who became President after death? ›
John Tyler became the tenth President of the United States (1841-1845) when President William Henry Harrison died in April 1841. He was the first Vice President to succeed to the Presidency after the death of his predecessor.
How many Americans could not find work in 1930? ›By 1930, 4 million Americans looking for work could not find it; that number had risen to 6 million in 1931.
Who was President after 1776? ›| George Washington | |
|---|---|
| In office April 30, 1788 – December 14, 1799 | |
| President | James Madison |
| Preceded by | Richard Terrick (1776) |
| Succeeded by | John Tyler (1859) |